Winning in the Transfer Market

Winning in the Transfer Market

In official leagues, each player starts with a squad and a residual budget, which combined adds up to a budget of € 40 million. The goal is to lead your team to the championship. Of course, this is only possible by collecting players who will earn you as many points as possible. Through clever buying and selling, you can generate more and more capital during the season, allowing you to put together a better squad designed towards your play style. Here are some tips and tricks to succeed in the marketplace.

Fundamental : Every football player has a set market value at the beginning of the season, which can change constantly over the course of the season. The market value changes based off the player demand by other managers and the overall performance of the player.

If a player constantly plays badly and begins to receive fewer points than average, his market value will decrease. If a player does not play at all and receives zero points, the market value will drop rapidly. 

How fast the market value falls always correlates with the height of the player’s current market value. For example, if Lewandowski does not play for several games, he will quickly drop in price by several million. In contrast, if a junior player does not play several games, his already low market value will only drop slightly. If a player performs average to above average, he will obtain about 6 to 8 points per match and his market value will gradually increase. If a player plays hard week after week and gets 9 – 13 points per match, his market value will rise sharply to a certain price and then level off. 

Premium users can see which players market values increased and decreased in the last day, last week, or last month.

What strategies come from these shifting values? One strategy is for a user to quickly buy and sell players to raise capital. For example: Thomas Müller is currently on the transfer market and makes two goals and an assist on the same day in the Bundesliga. You notice this and buy Müller for € 7.5 million on the transfer market. The next day, the points are applied and you know that because of your quick buying, you will be able to turn a hefty profit. On Monday, the market value rises to € 8 million (fictitious example) and you can sell Müller for a profit.

Of course, it can work the other way too. Suppose Müller is injured for a long time. He would receive 0 points for the games he sits out so his market value would go down. In that situation, selling him would be a good option.

Another strategy is to buy players who have been recently injured or suspended. Their lack of points will mean they have a lower market value, and can be bought for a cheap price. When they return, if they have good performances, their market value would rise again, allowing you to sell them for a high profit.

Try different strategies and figure out which one best suits your style!